Match details. J3 League. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Renofa Yamaguchi have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Kagoshima United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Renofa Yamaguchi average 4.6 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Kagoshima United score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kagoshima United average 4.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Kagoshima United's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Renofa Yamaguchi or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Renofa Yamaguchi. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, 77% on the records (Renofa Yamaguchi: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Kagoshima United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Renofa Yamaguchi or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1X2 - 2UP: Renofa Yamaguchi (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Kagoshima United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).