INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ELITE

EFEST

17:00Tue 3 Nov

ALS

Esteghlal FC Tehran vs Al-Shamal

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Basra Sports City, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Esteghlal FC Tehran are 4th on 6 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Al-Ahli Jeddah, level on points with Al-Hilal Saudi FC. A win would take them above Al-Ahli Jeddah. Al-Shamal are 6th on 5 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Al-Hilal Saudi FC, level on points with Al-Qadisiyah FC. A win would take them above Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Form. Esteghlal FC Tehran have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. Al-Shamal have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.

The numbers. Esteghlal FC Tehran score one and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Esteghlal FC Tehran average 4.5 shots (1.8 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Al-Shamal score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al-Shamal average 9.5 shots (4.2 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Esteghlal FC Tehran or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Esteghlal FC Tehran or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Esteghlal FC Tehran or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Esteghlal FC Tehran 1-1 Al-Shamal (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Esteghlal FC Tehran or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.32

EST 4 of 5 (80%) · ALS 9 of 10 (90%)83.3%

Esteghlal FC Tehran scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Shamal trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away

Double Chance: Esteghlal FC Tehran or DrawIN CODES

1.30

EST 9 of 10 (90%) · ALS 7 of 10 (70%)72.5%

Esteghlal FC Tehran unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Shamal failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Esteghlal FC Tehran (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

EST 4 of 5 (80%) · ALS 3 of 6 (50%)56.9%

Esteghlal FC Tehran won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Shamal lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · won 7, refunded 9, lost 4

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

EST 10 of 10 (100%) · ALS 8 of 10 (80%)86.2%

Esteghlal FC Tehran: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Shamal: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

ESTEGHLAL FC TEHRAN GOALS

Esteghlal FC Tehran Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.28

EST 7 of 10 (70%) · ALS 7 of 10 (70%)71.2%

Esteghlal FC Tehran scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Shamal conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

AL-SHAMAL GOALS

Al-Shamal Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.35

EST 6 of 10 (60%) · ALS 9 of 10 (90%)62.5%

Al-Shamal scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Esteghlal FC Tehran conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

EST 10 of 10 (100%) · ALS 7 of 10 (70%)85%

Esteghlal FC Tehran: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Shamal: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.17

EST 10 of 10 (100%) · ALS 7 of 10 (70%)85%

Esteghlal FC Tehran: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Shamal: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Esteghlal FC Tehran or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Esteghlal FC Tehran or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Esteghlal FC Tehran or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw); Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (96%) and the records (65%) are 31 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Esteghlal FC Tehran or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Esteghlal FC Tehran 1UP (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14%

Esteghlal FC Tehran goals →

Al-Shamal goals ↓

0-012%

1-013%

2-09%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.2%

0-25%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.5%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ESTEGHLAL FC TEHRANLDWWDWWDDD1.70 PPG

AL-SHAMALLWLDDLWWDD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ESTEGHLAL FC TEHRAN HOMExAL-SHAMAL AWAY

1.67SCORED A GAME1.331.00CONCEDED A GAME0.6750%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.67CORNERS A GAME3.331.33CARDS A GAME2.30

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.14+0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.31.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.410LEAGUE GAMES7

Esteghlal FC Tehran: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

ESTEGHLAL FC TEHRAN 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ESTEGHLAL FC TEHRAN OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

AL-SHAMAL OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ESTEGHLAL FC TEHRANxAL-SHAMAL

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.800.40CONCEDED A GAME2.401.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Esteghlal FC Tehran have scored in 70% of their games.

Al-Shamal have scored in 70% of their games.

Esteghlal FC Tehran kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Al-Shamal kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards