Match details. Newcastle United Jets host Shanghai Port FC in the AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 08:45 Lagos time at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle. Omar Al-Ali is the referee for this clash.
What's at stake. Newcastle United Jets sit 16th on 0 points after 3 games, level on points with Port FC, and a win would take them above Port FC. Shanghai Port FC are 8th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Kashiwa Reysol and level on points with Daejeon Citizen. A win for the visitors takes them above Kashiwa Reysol.
Form. Newcastle United Jets have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, averaging 0.7 points a game. Their last five read L L D D L. Shanghai Port FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, picking up 2.3 points a game. Their last five read L W W D W.
The numbers. Newcastle United Jets score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, keeping one clean sheet. They average 10.2 shots (3.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Shanghai Port FC score 3.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, keeping two clean sheets. They average 12.4 shots (6.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
The read. Shanghai Port FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Shanghai Port FC the likelier winners, and they are the stronger side on form and the table with both teams' records favouring them. Their xG points to an open game, while their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 90% on the records (Newcastle United Jets: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Shanghai Port FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Newcastle United Jets or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Shanghai Port FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Newcastle United Jets 1-2 Shanghai Port FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).