Match details. Esiliiga B. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. JK Tallinna Kalev have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. FA Tartu Kalev have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. JK Tallinna Kalev score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. JK Tallinna Kalev average 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FA Tartu Kalev score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FA Tartu Kalev average 6.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. FA Tartu Kalev's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. JK Tallinna Kalev to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make JK Tallinna Kalev the likelier winners; both teams' records favour JK Tallinna Kalev. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FA Tartu Kalev or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs JK Tallinna Kalev); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: JK Tallinna Kalev 2-1 FA Tartu Kalev (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).