Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas.
What's at stake. Houston Dynamo are 5th on 51 points after 33 games, level on points with St. Louis City, 4 points clear of Los Angeles FC. A win would take them above St. Louis City. Saint Louis City SC are 4th on 51 points after 33 games, 1 point behind San Jose Earthquakes, level on points with Houston Dynamo. A win would take them above San Jose Earthquakes.
Form. Houston Dynamo have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. Saint Louis City SC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Houston Dynamo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Houston Dynamo average 10.5 shots (2.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Saint Louis City SC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Saint Louis City SC average 12.4 shots (5.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Houston Dynamo have won three, drawn two and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Houston Dynamo won two and Saint Louis City SC won two. The last time they met, on 23 Aug 2026, it finished Houston Dynamo 1-2 Saint Louis City SC: Houston Dynamo had 18 shots to 9, 53% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Saint Louis City SC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).