Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Placement Group - 6. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium, Atuntaqui.
What's at stake. Leones Futbol Club are 9th on 46 points after 35 games, 1 point behind Guayaquil City FC, 4 points clear of Emelec. A win would take them above Guayaquil City FC. Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 47 points after 35 games, 4 points behind Libertad, 1 point clear of Leones del Norte. Leones Futbol Club have nothing left to play for. Guayaquil City FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Leones Futbol Club have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Leones Futbol Club have gone W W L L D L. Guayaquil City FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition Guayaquil City FC have gone D W L W D W.
The numbers. Leones Futbol Club score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leones Futbol Club average 17.1 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Guayaquil City FC score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Guayaquil City FC average 11.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Leones Futbol Club have won three, drawn five and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, four were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Sep 2026, it finished Leones Futbol Club 1-1 Guayaquil City FC: Leones Futbol Club had 22 shots to 9, 36% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Leones Futbol Club 1-1 Guayaquil City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).