Club Necaxa vs Club Tijuana de Caliente
Club Necaxa scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Club Tijuana de Caliente conceded under 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · Club Necaxa: only games against sides at Club Tijuana de Caliente's level · Club Tijuana de Caliente: only games against sides at Club Necaxa's level
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 16. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.
What's at stake. Club Necaxa are 17th on 10 points after 15 games, 4 points behind Atlante FC, 2 points clear of FC Juarez. Club Tijuana de Caliente are 6th on 22 points after 15 games, 2 points behind Toluca, level on points with Leon. A win would take them above Toluca.
Form. Club Necaxa have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Club Tijuana de Caliente have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.
The numbers. Club Necaxa score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Necaxa average 14.8 shots (5.0 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Club Tijuana de Caliente score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Club Tijuana de Caliente average 11.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 37% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Club Necaxa have won three, drawn four and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Club Necaxa won two and Club Tijuana de Caliente won two. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Club Necaxa 3-0 Club Tijuana de Caliente: Club Necaxa had 20 shots to 8, 55% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 75% on the records (Club Necaxa: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Club Tijuana de Caliente: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.21. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Club Necaxa 1-2 Club Tijuana de Caliente (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).