CDCLU

20:30Wed 4 Nov

FCC

Club Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Angel Celdran, Cartagena.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Club Deportiva Minera have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. FC Cartagena have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.

The numbers. Club Deportiva Minera score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Club Deportiva Minera average 12.5 shots (5.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. FC Cartagena score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Cartagena average 10.6 shots (3.4 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 30% against the records' 52%.

The read. No firm call: Club Deportiva Minera are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Club Deportiva Minera the likelier winners; Club Deportiva Minera are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Deportiva Minera. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Cartagena or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Deportiva Minera); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Deportiva Minera 1-1 FC Cartagena (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Club Deportiva Minera or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

CLU 5 of 6 (83%) · FCC 5 of 6 (83%)82.2%

Club Deportiva Minera: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · FC Cartagena: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

CLU 5 of 6 (83%) · FCC 5 of 6 (83%)83.9%

Club Deportiva Minera: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · FC Cartagena: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.27

CLU 4 of 6 (67%) · FCC 4 of 6 (67%)69.4%

Club Deportiva Minera: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · FC Cartagena: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.73

CLU 4 of 6 (67%) · FCC 4 of 6 (67%)67.8%

Club Deportiva Minera: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · FC Cartagena: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: FC Cartagena or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Deportiva Minera); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.4%

Club Deportiva Minera goals →

FC Cartagena goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CLUB DEPORTIVA MINERADLWDDLWWWW1.80 PPG

FC CARTAGENAWDDLWWDWLL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CLUB DEPORTIVA MINERA HOMExFC CARTAGENA AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.400.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1060%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE30%5.12CORNERS A GAME6.302.62CARDS A GAME1.80

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.12POINTS A GAME1.50+0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.30+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.32.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES10

Club Deportiva Minera: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

CLUB DEPORTIVA MINERA 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

CLUB DEPORTIVA MINERA OR DRAW

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

FC CARTAGENA OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CLUB DEPORTIVA MINERAxFC CARTAGENA

5GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.672.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.780%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%40%BOTH SCORE67%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.311.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Club Deportiva Minera have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Cartagena have scored in 70% of their games.

Club Deportiva Minera kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

FC Cartagena kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards