Match details. Utebo FC host CE Sabadell FC at Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. Kick-off is set for 20:30 Lagos time on Wed 4 Nov.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties to decide it if it is level.
Form. Utebo FC have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, averaging 0.9 points a game. Their last five matches read D D L D D. CE Sabadell FC have four wins, three draws and three losses from their last ten, taking 1.5 points a game. Their last five read L D L W D.
The numbers. Utebo FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 7.2 shots (3.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards. CE Sabadell FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 15.0 shots (3.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.0 cards, holding 48% of the ball.
The case against. For me, Utebo FC's record still gives them a 30% chance to win.
The read. CE Sabadell FC or the draw. A tight game. CE Sabadell FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Utebo FC 1-1 CE Sabadell FC (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CE Sabadell FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.14
UTE 3 of 5 (60%) · CES 9 of 10 (90%)73.4%
CE Sabadell FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Utebo FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
UTE 10 of 10 (100%) · CES 5 of 5 (100%)98.5%
Utebo FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CE Sabadell FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
UTEBO FC GOALS
Utebo FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
UTE 9 of 10 (90%) · CES 3 of 5 (60%)79.6%
Utebo FC scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CE Sabadell FC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
CE SABADELL FC GOALS
CE Sabadell FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
UTE 3 of 5 (60%) · CES 9 of 10 (90%)73.4%
CE Sabadell FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Utebo FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–114.3%
Utebo FC goals →
CE Sabadell FC goals ↓
0-013%
1-012%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.5%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.5%
1-40.6%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
UTEBO FCLDDWLDDLDD0.90 PPG
CE SABADELL FCWWLWDDWLDL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UTEBO FC HOMExCE SABADELL FC AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.201.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%22%FAILED TO SCORE42%2.80CORNERS A GAME5.621.80CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
UTEBO FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.12POINTS A GAME1.56+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.40.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UTEBO FC OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
CE SABADELL FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UTEBO FCxCE SABADELL FC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.001.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Utebo FC have scored in 80% of their games.
CE Sabadell FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Utebo FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
CE Sabadell FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards