CVCRV

21:00Sun 8 Nov

SEP

CR Vasco da Gama RJ vs SE Palmeiras SP

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Copa do Brasil, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. SE Palmeiras SP have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.

The numbers. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 13.4 shots (4.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. SE Palmeiras SP average 16.1 shots (6.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CR Vasco da Gama RJ won one and SE Palmeiras SP won three. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2026, it finished CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0-1 SE Palmeiras SP: CR Vasco da Gama RJ had 6 shots to 19, 40% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 36% against the records' 58%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No firm call: SE Palmeiras SP are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make SE Palmeiras SP the likelier winners; SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SE Palmeiras SP; the meetings favour SE Palmeiras SP.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1-1 SE Palmeiras SP (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.23

CRV 3 of 7 (43%) · SEP 5 of 7 (71%)68.2%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 5 of 6 · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

CRV 5 of 7 (71%) · SEP 4 of 7 (57%)59.4%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 6 · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ GOALS

CR Vasco da Gama RJ Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

CRV 3 of 7 (43%) · SEP 7 of 7 (100%)66.6%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ scored under 1.5 in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level

SE PALMEIRAS SP GOALS

SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.34

CRV 5 of 7 (71%) · SEP 5 of 7 (71%)75%

SE Palmeiras SP scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 6 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.49

CRV 5 of 7 (71%) · SEP 5 of 7 (71%)70.2%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRV 4 of 7 (57%) · SEP 6 of 7 (86%)71.4%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.6%

CR Vasco da Gama RJ goals →

SE Palmeiras SP goals ↓

0-07%

1-05%

2-03%

3-01.0%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-112%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-43%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-51.0%

1-51.0%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJWWDWLLWLLW1.60 PPG

SE PALMEIRAS SPDWWWWLWDWW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ HOMExSE PALMEIRAS SP AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME0.4030%CLEAN SHEETS60%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%5.40CORNERS A GAME5.301.80CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME2.33+0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.83+4.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+9.01.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES6

SE Palmeiras SP: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

SE PALMEIRAS SP 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

SE PALMEIRAS SP OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJxSE PALMEIRAS SP

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.601.80CONCEDED A GAME0.403.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.410.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ 1 · 10%DRAW 2SE PALMEIRAS SP 7 · 70%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-01-26CR Vasco da Gama RJ 1 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

2023-04-23CR Vasco da Gama RJ 2 – 2 SE Palmeiras SP

2023-08-27CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

2024-06-14CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0 – 2 SE Palmeiras SP

2024-09-22CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

2025-05-04CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

2025-10-01CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0 – 3 SE Palmeiras SP

2026-03-12CR Vasco da Gama RJ 2 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

TRENDS

CR Vasco da Gama RJ have scored in 70% of their games.

SE Palmeiras SP have scored in 70% of their games.

CR Vasco da Gama RJ kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

SE Palmeiras SP kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards