Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex.
What's at stake. Brighton are 3rd on 19 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Manchester City, 3 points clear of Chelsea. A win would take them above Manchester City. Brentford are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Liverpool, 1 point clear of Everton. A win would take them above Liverpool.
Form. Brighton have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. Brentford have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D.
The numbers. Brighton score 2.1 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. Brighton average 15.7 shots (5.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Brentford score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Brentford average 12.6 shots (4.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Brighton have won four, drawn three and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Brighton won two, one was drawn and Brentford won one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Brighton 2-0 Brentford: Brighton had 11 shots to 13, 48% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Brighton to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Brighton the likelier winners; Brighton are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Brighton. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Brighton or Draw (1UP) at 1.20, 80% on the records (Brighton scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4; led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Brighton 2-1 Brentford (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Brighton or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · BRE 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%
Brighton: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Double Chance: Brighton or DrawIN CODES
1.29
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)83%
Brighton unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.14
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)82.7%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or Draw (1UP)MAININ CODES
1.20
BRI 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 6 of 7 (86%)80.2%
Brighton scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.47
BRI 5 of 6 (83%) · BRE 2 of 5 (40%)77.2%
Brighton won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Brentford lost 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 3 of 4 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · won 4, refunded 4, lost 1
Brighton or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.48
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)75.6%
Brighton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton 1UPIN CODES
1.43
BRI 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 6 of 7 (86%)71.9%
Brighton scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 4 of 8 (50%)69.4%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.95
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 1 of 8 (12%)57.6%
Brighton won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford lost 1 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · H2H 3 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
BRI 4 of 7 (57%) · BRE 3 of 8 (38%)51.6%
Brighton: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · H2H 2 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · BRE 8 of 8 (100%)95.7%
Brighton: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 8 of 8 (100%)83.5%
Brighton: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 8 of 8 (100%)81.8%
Brighton: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
BRI 4 of 7 (57%) · BRE 4 of 8 (50%)56.7%
Brighton: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 3 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
BRIGHTON GOALS
Brighton Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)85.9%
Brighton scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 3 of 8 (38%)56.1%
Brighton scored over 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
BRENTFORD GOALS
Brentford Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.53
BRI 4 of 8 (50%) · BRE 4 of 7 (57%)66.9%
Brentford scored under 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 5 of 6 · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)76.9%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 8 of 8 (100%)76.8%
Brighton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES
1.15
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)80.4%
Brighton's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Brighton: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Brighton's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.7%
Brighton goals →
Brentford goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
BRIGHTONWWDLDWWWWW2.30 PPG
BRENTFORDWLDLDWWDDD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BRIGHTON HOMExBRENTFORD AWAY
2.67SCORED A GAME1.780.78CONCEDED A GAME1.0070%CLEAN SHEETS20%11%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.89CORNERS A GAME4.002.20CARDS A GAME2.701.68xG1.281.59xG AGAINST1.51
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.11POINTS A GAME1.56+1.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.78+3.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9
Brighton: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
BRIGHTON 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BRIGHTON OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
BRENTFORD OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BRIGHTONxBRENTFORD
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.800.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%0%BOTH SCORE60%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.210.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
BRIGHTON 4 · 44%DRAW 3BRENTFORD 2 · 22%
4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-14Brighton 0 – 2 Brentford
2023-04-01Brighton 3 – 3 Brentford
2023-07-26Brighton 2 – 0 Brentford
2023-12-06Brighton 2 – 1 Brentford
2024-04-03Brighton 0 – 0 Brentford
2024-12-27Brighton 0 – 0 Brentford
2025-04-19Brighton 2 – 4 Brentford
2025-11-22Brighton 2 – 1 Brentford
TRENDS
Brighton have scored in 80% of their games.
Brentford have scored in 100% of their games.
Brighton kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
Brentford kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards