Fulham vs Newcastle
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Craven Cottage, London.
What's at stake. Fulham are 15th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Everton, level on points with Coventry. A win would take them above Everton. Newcastle are 12th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Leeds, level on points with Ipswich. A win would take them above Leeds.
Form. Fulham have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. Newcastle have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Fulham score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Fulham average 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Newcastle score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Newcastle average 13.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fulham have won three, drawn none and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Fulham won two and Newcastle won two. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished Fulham 2-0 Newcastle: Fulham had 21 shots to 7, 45% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Newcastle's record still gives them 41% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Fulham or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.53, 76% on the records (Fulham: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Newcastle: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Fulham or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).