Leeds United vs Tottenham
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire.
What's at stake. Leeds United are 12th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Hull City, level on points with Newcastle. A win would take them above Hull City. Tottenham are 9th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Bournemouth, level on points with Aston Villa. A win would take them above Bournemouth.
Form. Leeds United have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D. Tottenham have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. Leeds United score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Leeds United average 9.8 shots (3.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Tottenham score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tottenham average 14.9 shots (5.1 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 63% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Leeds United have won two, drawn one and lost six. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, one was drawn and Tottenham won three. The last time they met, on 11 May 2026, it finished Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham: Leeds United had 11 shots to 16, 43% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Tottenham to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Tottenham are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Tottenham. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 72% on the records (Leeds United: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Tottenham: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Leeds United 0-1 Tottenham (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).