Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 21:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicao. The referee is Gustavo Fernandes Correia.
Form. FC Famalicao have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. FC Arouca have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. FC Famalicao score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Famalicao average 9.2 shots (4.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. FC Arouca score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Arouca average 3.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Famalicao the likelier winners, but FC Arouca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arouca. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The case against. FC Arouca's record still gives them 46% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. FC Famalicao or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Famalicao the likelier winners; FC Arouca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arouca. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 73% on the records (FC Famalicao: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8; FC Arouca: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: FC Famalicao 1-1 FC Arouca (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).