Club Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero
Match details. Copa Bolivia, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Club Aurora have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Independiente Petrolero have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.
The numbers. Club Aurora score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Club Aurora average 12.7 shots (5.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Independiente Petrolero score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Petrolero average 12.2 shots (4.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Club Aurora have won four, drawn two and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Club Aurora won one, one was drawn and Independiente Petrolero won two. The last time they met, on 20 Oct 2026, it finished Club Aurora 0-4 Independiente Petrolero.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Club Aurora or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Independiente Petrolero or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Aurora 1-1 Independiente Petrolero (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).