BJBOC

21:30Sat 7 Nov

DEF

Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia

CLASS B

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THE BET

TOTAL GOALS

Class B

BJv

Over 1.5 Goals

Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia

Argentina - Primera LPF · 21:30

1.24odds

81%book

-37edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alberto José Armando, Ciudad de Buenos Aires.

What's at stake. Boca Juniors are 2nd on 30 points after 15 games, 2 points clear of Velez Sarsfield. Defensa y Justicia are 4th on 28 points after 15 games, 3 points clear of Lanus.

Form. Boca Juniors have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Defensa y Justicia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.

The numbers. Boca Juniors score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Boca Juniors average 14.0 shots (5.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. Defensa y Justicia score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Defensa y Justicia average 15.8 shots (6.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished Boca Juniors 4-0 Defensa y Justicia: Boca Juniors had 11 shots to 8, 48% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 52%.

The read. No firm call: Boca Juniors are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Boca Juniors the likelier winners; Boca Juniors are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Boca Juniors. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 76% on the records (Boca Juniors: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6; Defensa y Justicia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Boca Juniors are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Boca Juniors are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Boca Juniors 2-1 Defensa y Justicia (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Boca Juniors or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BOC 6 of 6 (100%) · DEF 5 of 5 (100%)80.4%

Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Defensa y Justicia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Boca Juniors: only games against sides at Defensa y Justicia's level · Defensa y Justicia: only games against sides at Boca Juniors's level

Boca Juniors or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

BOC 6 of 6 (100%) · DEF 4 of 5 (80%)74.6%

Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Defensa y Justicia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Boca Juniors: only games against sides at Defensa y Justicia's level · Defensa y Justicia: only games against sides at Boca Juniors's level

Boca Juniors or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.10

BOC 6 of 6 (100%) · DEF 4 of 5 (80%)74.6%

Boca Juniors 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.22

BOC 4 of 5 (80%) · DEF 5 of 6 (83%)67.8%

Boca Juniors scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Defensa y Justicia trailed in 2 of 5 away · Boca Juniors: only games against sides at Defensa y Justicia's level · Defensa y Justicia: only games against sides at Boca Juniors's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BOC 6 of 6 (100%) · DEF 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%

Boca Juniors: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Defensa y Justicia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Boca Juniors: only games against sides at Defensa y Justicia's level · Defensa y Justicia: only games against sides at Boca Juniors's level

Over 1.5 GoalsMAINHELD · the odds board 81%

1.24

BOC 4 of 6 (67%) · DEF 4 of 5 (80%)44.2%

Boca Juniors: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Defensa y Justicia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · Boca Juniors: only games against sides at Defensa y Justicia's level · Defensa y Justicia: only games against sides at Boca Juniors's level

BOCA JUNIORS GOALS

Boca Juniors Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.09

BOC 6 of 6 (100%) · DEF 4 of 5 (80%)73.2%

Boca Juniors scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Defensa y Justicia conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Boca Juniors: only games against sides at Defensa y Justicia's level · Defensa y Justicia: only games against sides at Boca Juniors's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Boca Juniors are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Boca Juniors are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Boca Juniors goals →

Defensa y Justicia goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.8%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BOCA JUNIORSWWWWLDWWWD2.30 PPG

DEFENSA Y JUSTICIADWLWWDWLWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BOCA JUNIORS HOMExDEFENSA Y JUSTICIA AWAY

1.53SCORED A GAME1.400.93CONCEDED A GAME0.9340%CLEAN SHEETS40%9%FAILED TO SCORE26%5.28CORNERS A GAME4.233.38CARDS A GAME1.881.58xG1.510.82xG AGAINST1.15

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.07POINTS A GAME1.70+0.64GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.30+2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.82.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.014LEAGUE GAMES10

Boca Juniors: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BOCA JUNIORS OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA OR DRAW

31%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BOCA JUNIORSxDEFENSA Y JUSTICIA

7GAMES51.71SCORED A GAME1.000.43CONCEDED A GAME1.202.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.257%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%43%BOTH SCORE40%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

BOCA JUNIORS 4 · 40%DRAW 4DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 2 · 20%

2 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-09-15Boca Juniors 0 – 0 Defensa y Justicia

2022-05-11Boca Juniors 2 – 0 Defensa y Justicia

2022-08-21Boca Juniors 1 – 0 Defensa y Justicia

2023-03-07Boca Juniors 0 – 0 Defensa y Justicia

2023-09-15Boca Juniors 0 – 1 Defensa y Justicia

2024-02-10Boca Juniors 0 – 0 Defensa y Justicia

2024-07-21Boca Juniors 2 – 2 Defensa y Justicia

2025-03-16Boca Juniors 4 – 0 Defensa y Justicia

TRENDS

Boca Juniors have scored in 90% of their games.

Defensa y Justicia have scored in 80% of their games.

Boca Juniors kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Defensa y Justicia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards