Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.
What's at stake. Orlando City SC are 9th on 43 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Columbus Crew, 4 points clear of New York Red Bulls. A win would take them above Columbus Crew. New England Revolution are 3rd on 58 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Inter Miami, 3 points clear of Chicago Fire. A win would take them above Inter Miami.
Form. Orlando City SC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. In this competition Orlando City SC have gone L D D W D W. New England Revolution have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition New England Revolution have gone L W W W W L.
The numbers. Orlando City SC score 2.4 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Orlando City SC average 12.9 shots (5.4 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. New England Revolution score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. New England Revolution average 11.9 shots (5.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Orlando City SC have won five, drawn one and lost two. Eight of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Orlando City SC won two, one was drawn and New England Revolution won one. The last time they met, on 19 Sep 2026, it finished Orlando City SC 2-4 New England Revolution: Orlando City SC had 11 shots to 17, 49% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. New England Revolution are the form side, but the meetings favour Orlando City SC: in the last eight meetings, Orlando City SC won five, New England Revolution won two and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 99%. Eight of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10, 81% on the records (Orlando City SC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; New England Revolution: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Orlando City SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Orlando City SC 2-1 New England Revolution (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).