Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura.
What's at stake. Atletico Grau are 11th on 18 points after 15 games, 6 points behind Cusco, 1 point clear of Cienciano. Cusco FC are 10th on 24 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Sport Boys, 6 points clear of Atletico Grau. A win would take them above Sport Boys.
Form. Atletico Grau have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. In this competition Atletico Grau have gone L L D L D L. Cusco FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Cusco FC have gone L W W L L W.
The numbers. Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Atletico Grau average 10.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Cusco FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cusco FC average 15.8 shots (5.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Atletico Grau have won three, drawn three and lost two. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Atletico Grau won one, one was drawn and Cusco FC won two. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Atletico Grau 0-1 Cusco FC: Atletico Grau had 9 shots to 15, 30% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Cusco FC's record still gives them 41% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. Atletico Grau or the draw. A tight game. Cusco FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1-1 Cusco FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).