Monagas SC vs Caracas FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - Quadrangular - 4. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Monumental de Maturín, Maturin.
What's at stake. Monagas SC are 4th on 3 points after 3 games. Caracas FC are 2nd on 3 points after 3 games, 1 point clear of Deportivo La Guaira.
Form. Monagas SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition Monagas SC have gone W L L D W D. Caracas FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Caracas FC have gone L W L W W D.
The numbers. Monagas SC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Monagas SC average 2.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Caracas FC score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Caracas FC average 4.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Monagas SC have won four, drawn three and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Monagas SC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 31 Oct 2026, it finished Monagas SC 3-2 Caracas FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 73% on the records (Monagas SC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Caracas FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Monagas SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Monagas SC 1-1 Caracas FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).