Dijon vs Red Star FC
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon. The referee is Gael Angoula.
What's at stake. Dijon are 8th on 15 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Annecy, 1 point clear of Guingamp. A win would take them above Annecy. Red Star FC are 6th on 17 points after 11 games, 3 points behind PAU, 1 point clear of Annecy. A win would take them level on points with PAU.
Form. Dijon have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. Red Star FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.
The numbers. Dijon score two and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Dijon average 13.5 shots (5.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Red Star FC score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Red Star FC average 14.4 shots (5.4 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Dijon have won two, drawn one and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2024, it finished Dijon 2-0 Red Star FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Dijon the likelier winners, but Dijon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Red Star FC; the meetings favour Dijon.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 77% on the records (Dijon: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Red Star FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Dijon 1-1 Red Star FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).