Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden. The referee is Michael Bacher.
What's at stake. Dynamo Dresden are 18th on 8 points after 10 games, level on points with Holstein Kiel. A win would take them above Holstein Kiel. Greuther Furth are 9th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with FC St. Pauli, 1 point clear of VfL Osnabrück. A win would take them above FC St. Pauli.
Form. Dynamo Dresden have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Greuther Furth have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.
The numbers. Dynamo Dresden score 1.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Dynamo Dresden average 12.8 shots (4.4 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Greuther Furth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Greuther Furth average 13.5 shots (4.1 on target), 6.4 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dynamo Dresden have won two, drawn three and lost five. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Dynamo Dresden won one, one was drawn and Greuther Furth won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Greuther Furth: Dynamo Dresden had 12 shots to 9, 51% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Greuther Furth's record still gives them 48% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Dynamo Dresden or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Greuther Furth are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Greuther Furth.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Greuther Furth (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).