Heracles Almelo vs Roda JC Kerkrade
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Polman Stadion, Armello.
What's at stake. Heracles Almelo are 16th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Vitesse, level on points with Jong PSV U21. A win would take them above Vitesse. Roda JC Kerkrade are 14th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with NAC Breda, level on points with Vitesse. A win would take them above NAC Breda.
Form. Heracles Almelo have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Heracles Almelo have gone W D W W D W. Roda JC Kerkrade have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Roda JC Kerkrade have gone W W W D L W.
The numbers. Heracles Almelo score three and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Heracles Almelo average 23.2 shots (7.8 on target), 9.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Roda JC Kerkrade score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Roda JC Kerkrade average 12.6 shots (4.8 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Heracles Almelo have won five, drawn two and lost two. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Heracles Almelo won four. The last time they met, on 14 Apr 2023, it finished Heracles Almelo 1-0 Roda JC Kerkrade: Heracles Almelo had 8 shots to 9, 53% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. Heracles Almelo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Heracles Almelo the likelier winners; Heracles Almelo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heracles Almelo; the meetings favour Heracles Almelo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Heracles Almelo or Draw at 1.13, 78% on the records (Heracles Almelo unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Roda JC Kerkrade failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: Heracles Almelo to Win Either Half: Yes at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Heracles Almelo or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Roda JC Kerkrade Over 0.5 goals (Heracles Almelo's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Heracles Almelo 2-1 Roda JC Kerkrade (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).