Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven.
What's at stake. FC Eindhoven are 5th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Dordrecht, level on points with Emmen. A win would take them above Dordrecht. Jong Ajax Amsterdam are 18th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Jong PSV U21, level on points with Jong AZ. A win would take them above Jong PSV U21.
Form. FC Eindhoven have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Jong Ajax Amsterdam have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D.
The numbers. FC Eindhoven score 2.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. FC Eindhoven average 12.1 shots (4.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Jong Ajax Amsterdam score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Jong Ajax Amsterdam average 15.8 shots (5.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Eindhoven have won four, drawn four and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, FC Eindhoven won three and Jong Ajax Amsterdam won one. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2026, it finished FC Eindhoven 2-1 Jong Ajax Amsterdam: FC Eindhoven had 22 shots to 10, 50% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Jong Ajax Amsterdam are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Eindhoven: in the last ten meetings, FC Eindhoven won four, Jong Ajax Amsterdam won two and four were drawn. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Eindhoven 2-1 Jong Ajax Amsterdam (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).