Match details. Primera LPF. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Tigre have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. CA Sarmiento Junin have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. CA Tigre score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CA Tigre average 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CA Sarmiento Junin score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CA Sarmiento Junin average 3.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. CA Sarmiento Junin's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. CA Tigre or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. CA Sarmiento Junin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Sarmiento Junin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CA Tigre 1-1 CA Sarmiento Junin (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CA Tigre or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
CAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)79.2%
CA Tigre: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAT 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)96.9%
CA Tigre: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAT 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)92.2%
CA Tigre: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
CAT 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 2 of 5 (40%)83.3%
CA Tigre: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
CAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)82.5%
CA Tigre: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
CAT 3 of 5 (60%) · CAS 2 of 5 (40%)63.4%
CA Tigre: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
CA TIGRE GOALS
CA Tigre Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.28
CAT 2 of 5 (40%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)66.3%
CA Tigre scored in 2 of 5 at home · CA Sarmiento Junin conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CA Tigre: only games against sides at CA Sarmiento Junin's level · CA Sarmiento Junin: only games against sides at CA Tigre's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
CA Tigre goals →
CA Sarmiento Junin goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA TIGREWLDLLLLLDW0.80 PPG
CA SARMIENTO JUNINLLDDWLDWLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA TIGRE HOMExCA SARMIENTO JUNIN AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.531.07CONCEDED A GAME1.5320%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.29CORNERS A GAME3.582.03CARDS A GAME3.03
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CA SARMIENTO JUNIN 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.71POINTS A GAME1.12-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12-1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA TIGRE OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
CA SARMIENTO JUNIN OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA TIGRExCA SARMIENTO JUNIN
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE80%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.89.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Tigre have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Sarmiento Junin have scored in 90% of their games.
CA Tigre kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CA Sarmiento Junin kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards