CA Aldosivi vs CA River Plate (ARG)
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata.
What's at stake. CA Aldosivi are 14th on 11 points after 15 games, 3 points behind Banfield, 2 points clear of Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. A win would take them level on points with Banfield. CA River Plate (ARG) are 4th on 23 points after 15 games, 5 points behind Gimnasia L.P., level on points with Belgrano Cordoba.
Form. CA Aldosivi have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition CA Aldosivi have gone L W L L L W. CA River Plate (ARG) have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition CA River Plate (ARG) have gone L W W D W L.
The numbers. CA Aldosivi score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Aldosivi average 16.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. CA River Plate (ARG) score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CA River Plate (ARG) average 16.5 shots (5.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CA Aldosivi have won one, drawn one and lost seven. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CA Aldosivi won one and CA River Plate (ARG) won three. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished CA Aldosivi 3-1 CA River Plate (ARG).
The case against. CA Aldosivi's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. CA River Plate (ARG) to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA River Plate (ARG) the likelier winners; CA River Plate (ARG) are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA River Plate (ARG); the meetings favour CA River Plate (ARG).
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 71% on the records (CA Aldosivi: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home; CA River Plate (ARG): under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: CA Aldosivi Under 1.5 Goals at 1.14 (72%). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: CA Aldosivi 0-1 CA River Plate (ARG) (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).