Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Porto
Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães.
What's at stake. Vitoria SC Guimaraes are 13th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Estrela, 1 point clear of Maritimo. A win would take them above Estrela. Porto are 1st on 30 points after 10 games, 5 points clear of Benfica.
Form. Vitoria SC Guimaraes have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. In this competition Vitoria SC Guimaraes have gone D W L D L D. Porto have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Porto have gone W W W W W W.
The numbers. Vitoria SC Guimaraes score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Vitoria SC Guimaraes average 16.6 shots (4.6 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Porto score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Porto average 17.9 shots (7.1 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Vitoria SC Guimaraes have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Vitoria SC Guimaraes won one, one was drawn and Porto won two. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Vitoria SC Guimaraes 0-1 Porto: Vitoria SC Guimaraes had 20 shots to 12, 50% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Porto to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Porto the likelier winners; Porto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Porto; the meetings favour Porto. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Porto at 1.18, 73% on the records (Porto unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Vitoria SC Guimaraes failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Backup: Vitoria SC Guimaraes Under 1.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Porto or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Porto Over 0.5 goals (Vitoria SC Guimaraes's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Vitoria SC Guimaraes 1-2 Porto (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).