Match details. Copa Chile, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time. The referee is J. Cabero.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Deportes Union La Calera have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. Coquimbo Unido have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Deportes Union La Calera score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Deportes Union La Calera average 11.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Coquimbo Unido score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Coquimbo Unido average 14.2 shots (5.4 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportes Union La Calera have won none, drawn one and lost eight. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Coquimbo Unido won four. The last time they met, on 30 Oct 2026, it finished Deportes Union La Calera 0-1 Coquimbo Unido: Deportes Union La Calera had 12 shots to 10, 59% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Coquimbo Unido are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Coquimbo Unido are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Coquimbo Unido; the meetings favour Coquimbo Unido. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Deportes Union La Calera Under 1.5 goals (Coquimbo Unido's own games don't back it (3 of 8)). Predicted score: Deportes Union La Calera 1-1 Coquimbo Unido (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).