Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria.
What's at stake. Las Palmas are 11th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with Sabadell, 1 point clear of Cordoba. A win would take them above Sabadell. Club Deportivo Eldense are 15th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Tenerife, 1 point clear of Celta de Vigo II. A win would take them above Tenerife.
Form. Las Palmas have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Las Palmas have gone W W L L D L. Club Deportivo Eldense have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Club Deportivo Eldense have gone L L W W W L.
The numbers. Las Palmas score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Las Palmas average 11.0 shots (3.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Club Deportivo Eldense score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Club Deportivo Eldense average 13.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Las Palmas 1-1 Club Deportivo Eldense (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).