Match details. Gaucho, Serie B. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ser Cruz Alta RS have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Gremio Atletico Farroupilha RS have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Ser Cruz Alta RS score 0.7 and concede 0.3 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ser Cruz Alta RS average 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Gremio Atletico Farroupilha RS score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gremio Atletico Farroupilha RS average 4.5 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Ser Cruz Alta RS 0-0 Gremio Atletico Farroupilha RS (18% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Ser Cruz Alta RS the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).