FC Atletico Cearense CE vs Vila Real FC CE
Match details. Taca Fares Lopes. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Atletico Cearense CE have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Vila Real FC CE have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. FC Atletico Cearense CE score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Atletico Cearense CE average 7.2 shots (2.8 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Vila Real FC CE score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Vila Real FC CE average 12.8 shots (5.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Vila Real FC CE are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Vila Real FC CE the likelier winners; Vila Real FC CE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vila Real FC CE. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Atletico Cearense CE 0-1 Vila Real FC CE (15% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Vila Real FC CE the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).