NK Varazdin vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varazdin.
What's at stake. NK Varazdin are 4th on 19 points after 12 games, 1 point behind NK Osijek, 1 point clear of HNK Rijeka. A win would take them above NK Osijek. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd on 22 points after 11 games, 4 points behind HNK Hajduk Split, 2 points clear of NK Osijek.
Form. NK Varazdin have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition NK Varazdin have gone D L L W D D. GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition GNK Dinamo Zagreb have gone L W W L W L.
The numbers. NK Varazdin score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Varazdin average 13.1 shots (3.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. GNK Dinamo Zagreb score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. GNK Dinamo Zagreb average 17.9 shots (5.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings NK Varazdin have won none, drawn two and lost eight. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, GNK Dinamo Zagreb won four. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished NK Varazdin 1-3 GNK Dinamo Zagreb: NK Varazdin had 6 shots to 21, 41% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. NK Varazdin's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. GNK Dinamo Zagreb to win. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: NK Varazdin 0-1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).