Match details. Division de Honor. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sportivo Ameliano have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Club Guarani Asuncion have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D.
The numbers. Sportivo Ameliano score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sportivo Ameliano average 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Club Guarani Asuncion score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Club Guarani Asuncion average 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. Club Guarani Asuncion to win. A tight game. Club Guarani Asuncion are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Guarani Asuncion. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Club Guarani Asuncion are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Club Guarani Asuncion are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Club Guarani Asuncion (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
CLUB GUARANI ASUNCION GOALS
Club Guarani Asuncion Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 9 of 10 (90%)75.4%
Club Guarani Asuncion scored in 5 of 5 away · Sportivo Ameliano conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Club Guarani Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Ameliano's level · Sportivo Ameliano: only games against sides at Club Guarani Asuncion's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Club Guarani Asuncion are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Club Guarani Asuncion are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Club Guarani Asuncion are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.2%
Sportivo Ameliano goals →
Club Guarani Asuncion goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPORTIVO AMELIANOLLDLLDDWWL0.90 PPG
CLUB GUARANI ASUNCIONWWLDDWWDWD1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPORTIVO AMELIANO HOMExCLUB GUARANI ASUNCION AWAY
1.12SCORED A GAME1.121.41CONCEDED A GAME0.8210%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.13CORNERS A GAME4.622.13CARDS A GAME2.18
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR CLUB GUARANI ASUNCION (1UP)
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137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.80-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.40.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.615LEAGUE GAMES15
Club Guarani Asuncion: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CLUB GUARANI ASUNCION 0:2 HANDICAP
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373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
26%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SPORTIVO AMELIANO OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
CLUB GUARANI ASUNCION OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPORTIVO AMELIANOxCLUB GUARANI ASUNCION
7GAMES71.29SCORED A GAME1.141.43CONCEDED A GAME0.432.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.671%OVER 1.5 GOALS43%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS14%57%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sportivo Ameliano have scored in 70% of their games.
Club Guarani Asuncion have scored in 90% of their games.
Sportivo Ameliano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Club Guarani Asuncion kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards