Match details. Division de Honor. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. Nacional Asuncion have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Sportivo San Lorenzo have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D.
The numbers. Nacional Asuncion score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nacional Asuncion average 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Sportivo San Lorenzo score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sportivo San Lorenzo average 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The read. No firm call: Nacional Asuncion are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Nacional Asuncion the likelier winners; Nacional Asuncion are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nacional Asuncion.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 2-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAC 9 of 9 (100%) · SPO 8 of 8 (100%)91.2%
Nacional Asuncion: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sportivo San Lorenzo: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo San Lorenzo's level · Sportivo San Lorenzo: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
NAC 9 of 9 (100%) · SPO 7 of 8 (88%)81.4%
Nacional Asuncion: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sportivo San Lorenzo: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo San Lorenzo's level · Sportivo San Lorenzo: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
NACIONAL ASUNCION GOALS
Nacional Asuncion Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAC 7 of 9 (78%) · SPO 7 of 8 (88%)93%
Nacional Asuncion scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sportivo San Lorenzo conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo San Lorenzo's level · Sportivo San Lorenzo: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–013.5%
Nacional Asuncion goals →
Sportivo San Lorenzo goals ↓
0-05%
1-010%
2-014%
3-011%
4-07%
5-04%
0-12%
1-17%
2-19%
3-17%
4-15%
5-12%
0-20.8%
1-22%
2-23%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.7%
0-30.2%
1-30.5%
2-30.6%
3-30.5%
4-30.3%
5-30.2%
0-40.0%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
NACIONAL ASUNCIONWLWWDDDWWL1.80 PPG
SPORTIVO SAN LORENZOWLLDDDDWLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NACIONAL ASUNCION HOMExSPORTIVO SAN LORENZO AWAY
1.53SCORED A GAME0.590.53CONCEDED A GAME1.7650%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.92CORNERS A GAME4.282.13CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NACIONAL ASUNCION OR DRAW (1UP)
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137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.81POINTS A GAME0.50+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.14+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.72.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.216LEAGUE GAMES14
Nacional Asuncion: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
NACIONAL ASUNCION 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
27%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NACIONAL ASUNCION OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SPORTIVO SAN LORENZO OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NACIONAL ASUNCIONxSPORTIVO SAN LORENZO
7GAMES71.29SCORED A GAME0.430.29CONCEDED A GAME1.571.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.057%OVER 1.5 GOALS57%14%OVER 2.5 GOALS29%14%BOTH SCORE43%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Nacional Asuncion have scored in 80% of their games.
Sportivo San Lorenzo have scored in 70% of their games.
Nacional Asuncion kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Sportivo San Lorenzo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards