LALIB

23:00Wed 4 Nov

CER

Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 18. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción. The referee is David Ojeda.

Form. Libertad Asuncion have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Cerro Porteno have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W.

The numbers. Libertad Asuncion score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Libertad Asuncion average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Cerro Porteno score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cerro Porteno average 5.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Cerro Porteno (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LIB 8 of 8 (100%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)96.6%

Libertad Asuncion: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Porteno: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Libertad Asuncion: only games against sides at Cerro Porteno's level · Cerro Porteno: only games against sides at Libertad Asuncion's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

LIB 8 of 8 (100%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)91.4%

Libertad Asuncion: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Porteno: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Libertad Asuncion: only games against sides at Cerro Porteno's level · Cerro Porteno: only games against sides at Libertad Asuncion's level

LIBERTAD ASUNCION GOALS

Libertad Asuncion Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.26

LIB 6 of 8 (75%) · CER 6 of 8 (75%)79.4%

Libertad Asuncion scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Porteno conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Libertad Asuncion: only games against sides at Cerro Porteno's level · Cerro Porteno: only games against sides at Libertad Asuncion's level

CERRO PORTENO GOALS

Cerro Porteno Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

LIB 6 of 8 (75%) · CER 6 of 8 (75%)66.1%

Cerro Porteno scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Libertad Asuncion conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Cerro Porteno: only games against sides at Libertad Asuncion's level · Libertad Asuncion: only games against sides at Cerro Porteno's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Libertad Asuncion goals →

Cerro Porteno goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LIBERTAD ASUNCIONLWWLDWLDDW1.50 PPG

CERRO PORTENOLWDDWLWLWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LIBERTAD ASUNCION HOMExCERRO PORTENO AWAY

1.47SCORED A GAME1.351.12CONCEDED A GAME1.1220%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.79CORNERS A GAME5.212.00CARDS A GAME1.68

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME1.38+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.08-0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.415LEAGUE GAMES13

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LIBERTAD ASUNCION OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

CERRO PORTENO OR DRAW

39%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LIBERTAD ASUNCIONxCERRO PORTENO

8GAMES61.88SCORED A GAME1.501.00CONCEDED A GAME1.332.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.862%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%62%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Libertad Asuncion have scored in 80% of their games.

Cerro Porteno have scored in 80% of their games.

Libertad Asuncion kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Cerro Porteno kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards