HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08
Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Briskeby Arena, Hamar.
What's at stake. HamKam are 13th on 27 points after 25 games, level on points with Sandefjord, 3 points clear of Aalesund. A win would take them above Sandefjord. Sarpsborg 08 are 9th on 31 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Valerenga, level on points with KFUM Oslo. A win would take them above Valerenga.
Form. HamKam have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition HamKam have gone D L L W L L. Sarpsborg 08 have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Sarpsborg 08 have gone L W L W L D.
The numbers. HamKam score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. HamKam average 11.4 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Sarpsborg 08 score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sarpsborg 08 average 17.1 shots (5.9 on target), 8.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings HamKam have won one, drawn one and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Sarpsborg 08 won four. The last time they met, on 26 Jul 2026, it finished HamKam 0-1 Sarpsborg 08: HamKam had 14 shots to 12, 61% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. HamKam's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Sarpsborg 08 to win. An open game. Sarpsborg 08 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sarpsborg 08; the meetings favour Sarpsborg 08. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (HamKam: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Sarpsborg 08: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Sarpsborg 08 win or both teams score at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: HamKam 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).