Match details. Serie A. Kick-off is Mon 23 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Monza have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Fiorentina have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D.
The numbers. Monza score 1.7 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Monza average 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Fiorentina score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fiorentina average 14.6 shots (5.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 89%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 77% on the records (Monza: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; Fiorentina: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Monza or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Fiorentina or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Monza 1-2 Fiorentina (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Monza or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 9 of 9 (100%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)100%
Monza: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Monza: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Monza's level
Fiorentina or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 9 of 9 (100%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)100%
Fiorentina: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Monza: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Monza's level · Monza: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Double Chance: Monza or FiorentinaIN CODES
1.29
MON 8 of 9 (89%) · FIO 7 of 9 (78%)73.2%
Monza: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Monza: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Monza's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.22
MON 5 of 9 (56%) · FIO 8 of 9 (89%)85.4%
Monza: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Monza: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Monza's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.18
MON 9 of 9 (100%) · FIO 9 of 9 (100%)76.8%
Monza: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Monza: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Monza's level
FIORENTINA GOALS
Fiorentina Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
MON 7 of 9 (78%) · FIO 8 of 9 (89%)75.4%
Fiorentina scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Monza conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Monza's level · Monza: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level
Left off the list: Monza or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (66%) and the records (89%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Fiorentina or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (66%) and the records (89%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.5%
Monza goals →
Fiorentina goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MONZALLLWLWLDWL1.00 PPG
FIORENTINALLLWWDLLLD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONZA HOMExFIORENTINA AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.402.40CONCEDED A GAME2.1080%BOTH SCORED1%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.80CORNERS A GAME4.901.80CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.70POINTS A GAME0.80-0.70GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.80-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.50.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.810LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 85/90
MONZA OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
FIORENTINA OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONZAxFIORENTINA
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.802.40CONCEDED A GAME2.204.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.88.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Monza have scored in 100% of their games.
Fiorentina have scored in 80% of their games.
Monza kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Fiorentina kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards