FC Twente Enschede vs Willem II Tilburg
Match details. Eredivisie. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 12:15 Lagos time.
Form. FC Twente Enschede have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Willem II Tilburg have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. FC Twente Enschede score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Twente Enschede average 7.1 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Willem II Tilburg score 1.5 and concede 3.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Willem II Tilburg average 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 95% against the records' 71%.
The read. No firm call: FC Twente Enschede are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Twente Enschede the likelier winners; FC Twente Enschede are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Twente Enschede. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.18, 71% on the records (FC Twente Enschede: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8; Willem II Tilburg: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: Willem II Tilburg Under 1.5 Goals at 1.10 (86%). Backup: Willem II Tilburg Under 1.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Twente Enschede 3-0 Willem II Tilburg (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).