Feyenoord vs Excelsior Rotterdam
Match details. Eredivisie. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time.
Form. Feyenoord have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Excelsior Rotterdam have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Feyenoord score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Feyenoord average 6.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Excelsior Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Excelsior Rotterdam average 3.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 89% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Feyenoord are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Feyenoord the likelier winners; Feyenoord are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Feyenoord. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Excelsior Rotterdam Under 1.5 goals (Excelsior Rotterdam's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Feyenoord 3-0 Excelsior Rotterdam (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).