Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Fri 20 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sao Paulo FC SP have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Fluminense FC RJ have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Sao Paulo FC SP score one and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Sao Paulo FC SP average 6.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Fluminense FC RJ score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Fluminense FC RJ average 5.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Sao Paulo FC SP 1-1 Fluminense FC RJ (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAO 5 of 5 (100%) · FLU 7 of 7 (100%)95.5%
Sao Paulo FC SP: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Fluminense FC RJ: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.5%
Sao Paulo FC SP goals →
Fluminense FC RJ goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
SAO PAULO FC SPDLDWWLLWDL1.20 PPG
FLUMINENSE FC RJWLWLLLWWLL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SAO PAULO FC SP HOMExFLUMINENSE FC RJ AWAY
1.15SCORED A GAME1.581.15CONCEDED A GAME1.2750%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.85CORNERS A GAME5.392.29CARDS A GAME2.52
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.25POINTS A GAME1.33-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.31.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.212LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SAO PAULO FC SP OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FLUMINENSE FC RJ OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SAO PAULO FC SPxFLUMINENSE FC RJ
7GAMES71.14SCORED A GAME1.430.71CONCEDED A GAME1.711.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.157%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%57%BOTH SCORE86%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.011.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sao Paulo FC SP have scored in 70% of their games.
Fluminense FC RJ have scored in 90% of their games.
Sao Paulo FC SP kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Fluminense FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards