Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Thu 19 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. EC Vitoria BA have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Red Bull Bragantino SP have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. EC Vitoria BA score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. EC Vitoria BA average 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Red Bull Bragantino SP score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Red Bull Bragantino SP average 6.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Red Bull Bragantino SP or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Red Bull Bragantino SP win or both teams score (the call is a draw); Red Bull Bragantino SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: EC Vitoria BA 1-1 Red Bull Bragantino SP (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Red Bull Bragantino SP or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
ECV 2 of 5 (40%) · RED 2 of 5 (40%)52.6%
Red Bull Bragantino SP scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 2 · led or was unbeaten in 2 of 5 away · EC Vitoria BA trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECV 9 of 9 (100%) · RED 5 of 5 (100%)95.1%
EC Vitoria BA: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Red Bull Bragantino SP: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
ECV 9 of 9 (100%) · RED 5 of 5 (100%)87.7%
EC Vitoria BA: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Red Bull Bragantino SP: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
ECV 6 of 9 (67%) · RED 3 of 5 (60%)53.5%
EC Vitoria BA: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Red Bull Bragantino SP: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
EC VITORIA BA GOALS
EC Vitoria BA Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
ECV 8 of 9 (89%) · RED 5 of 5 (100%)74.8%
EC Vitoria BA scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Red Bull Bragantino SP conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
EC Vitoria BA Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
ECV 7 of 9 (78%) · RED 3 of 5 (60%)60%
EC Vitoria BA scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Red Bull Bragantino SP conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
RED BULL BRAGANTINO SP GOALS
Red Bull Bragantino SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
ECV 3 of 5 (60%) · RED 7 of 9 (78%)70.7%
Red Bull Bragantino SP scored in 3 of 5 away · EC Vitoria BA conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Red Bull Bragantino SP: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Red Bull Bragantino SP's level
Left off the list: Red Bull Bragantino SP or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Red Bull Bragantino SP win or both teams score (the call is a draw); Red Bull Bragantino SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.2%
EC Vitoria BA goals →
Red Bull Bragantino SP goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41.0%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
EC VITORIA BALDDLWLDWLL0.90 PPG
RED BULL BRAGANTINO SPWWLDWDLLDL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EC VITORIA BA HOMExRED BULL BRAGANTINO SP AWAY
1.06SCORED A GAME1.291.45CONCEDED A GAME1.1560%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.30CORNERS A GAME6.122.33CARDS A GAME2.59
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.38-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES8
Red Bull Bragantino SP: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
EC VITORIA BA OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
RED BULL BRAGANTINO SP OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EC VITORIA BAxRED BULL BRAGANTINO SP
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.49.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES14.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
EC Vitoria BA have scored in 80% of their games.
Red Bull Bragantino SP have scored in 80% of their games.
EC Vitoria BA kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Red Bull Bragantino SP kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards