Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Thu 19 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time.
Form. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. EC Bahia BA have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.
The numbers. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 4.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game. EC Bahia BA score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. EC Bahia BA average 5.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 76% on the records (Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; EC Bahia BA: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.16. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2-1 EC Bahia BA (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 5 of 5 (100%)94.2%
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · EC Bahia BA: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level
Under 4.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.16
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 3 of 5 (60%)86%
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · EC Bahia BA: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)76.1%
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · EC Bahia BA: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level
GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS GOALS
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 5 of 5 (100%)75.1%
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored in 4 of 5 at home · EC Bahia BA conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at EC Bahia BA's level · EC Bahia BA: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.5%
Gremio FB Porto… goals →
EC Bahia BA goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSLWWWLDDDLL1.20 PPG
EC BAHIA BALWDLWLLWWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS HOMExEC BAHIA BA AWAY
1.12SCORED A GAME1.471.38CONCEDED A GAME1.3260%BOTH SCORED70%40%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.652.68CARDS A GAME2.32
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.15POINTS A GAME1.83-0.15GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-3.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.413LEAGUE GAMES12
EC Bahia BA: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 85/90
GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
EC BAHIA BA OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSxEC BAHIA BA
8GAMES71.50SCORED A GAME1.571.25CONCEDED A GAME1.432.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.088%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%75%BOTH SCORE57%7.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–12.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have scored in 90% of their games.
EC Bahia BA have scored in 80% of their games.
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
EC Bahia BA kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards