Girona vs Almeria
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona.
What's at stake. Girona are 7th on 21 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Sporting Gijon, level on points with Burgos. A win would take them above Sporting Gijon. Almeria are 2nd on 26 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Castellón, 3 points clear of Eibar. A win would take them above Castellón.
Form. Girona have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition Girona have gone L W W D D W. Almeria have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Almeria have gone D D W W W W.
The numbers. Girona score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Girona average 13.6 shots (5.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Almeria score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Almeria average 12.6 shots (4.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Girona have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Girona won two, one was drawn and Almeria won one. The last time they met, on 14 Jan 2024, it finished Girona 0-0 Almeria: Girona had 5 shots to 20, 54% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Girona the likelier winners, but Almeria are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Almeria or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Almeria or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Almeria Over 0.5 goals (Girona's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Girona 1-1 Almeria (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).