Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ostseestadion, Rostock.
What's at stake. Hansa Rostock are 11th on 16 points after 12 games, level on points with Fortuna Düsseldorf, 1 point clear of SV Meppen. A win would take them above Fortuna Düsseldorf. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 18th on 12 points after 12 games, level on points with Verl, 2 points clear of Fortuna Köln. A win would take them above Verl.
Form. Hansa Rostock have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Hansa Rostock have gone L D L L W D. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have gone L L W D L L.
The numbers. Hansa Rostock score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Hansa Rostock average 12.6 shots (4.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 1.2 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach average 12.5 shots (4.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hansa Rostock have won two, drawn six and lost two. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Hansa Rostock won one, two were drawn and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach won one. The last time they met, on 15 Feb 2020, it finished Hansa Rostock 1-0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: Hansa Rostock had 9 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 61% against the records' 34%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%; nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No firm call: Hansa Rostock are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Hansa Rostock the likelier winners; Hansa Rostock are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hansa Rostock 1-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).