ENGLAND AMATEUR - NORTHERN PREMIER LEAGUE PREMIER

BFBUR

20:45Tue 3 Nov

AVR

Bury FC vs Avro FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Northern Premier League Premier. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Bury FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Avro FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.

The numbers. Bury FC score 2.9 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Bury FC average 9.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Avro FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Avro FC average 5.3 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

The case against. Avro FC's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Bury FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bury FC the likelier winners; Bury FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bury FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Avro FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Bury FC); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bury FC 2-1 Avro FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Bury FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · AVR 7 of 7 (100%)98.3%

Bury FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Avro FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

Bury FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · AVR 6 of 7 (86%)84.8%

Bury FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Avro FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

Double Chance: Bury FC or Avro FCIN CODES

1.21

BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · AVR 7 of 7 (100%)74.5%

Bury FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Avro FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · AVR 7 of 7 (100%)93.6%

Bury FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Avro FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · AVR 5 of 7 (71%)78.2%

Bury FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Avro FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · AVR 3 of 7 (43%)54.1%

Bury FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Avro FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

BURY FC GOALS

Bury FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · AVR 6 of 7 (86%)80.7%

Bury FC scored in 7 of 7 at home · Avro FC conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Avro FC: only games against sides at Bury FC's level

Left off the list: Avro FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Bury FC); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Avro FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Bury FC)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

Bury FC goals →

Avro FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BURY FCLWWLDWLWDW1.70 PPG

AVRO FCLWWLLLWWWL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BURY FC HOMExAVRO FC AWAY

2.15SCORED A GAME2.471.23CONCEDED A GAME1.8780%BOTH SCORED40%10%CLEAN SHEETS20%9.40CORNERS A GAME5.291.00CARDS A GAME1.14

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.69POINTS A GAME1.87+0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+9.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.613LEAGUE GAMES15

Bury FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 85/90

BURY FC OR DRAW

59%

NO · 80/85

AVRO FC OR DRAW

35%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BURY FCxAVRO FC

7GAMES83.00SCORED A GAME1.751.14CONCEDED A GAME1.624.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.471%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%43%BOTH SCORE38%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Bury FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Avro FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Bury FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Avro FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards