Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Thu 19 Nov, 00:30 Lagos time.
Form. Cruzeiro EC MG have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Cruzeiro EC MG score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 5.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. SE Palmeiras SP average 5.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Cruzeiro EC MG's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. SE Palmeiras SP to win. A tight game. SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SE Palmeiras SP. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SE Palmeiras SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SE Palmeiras SP 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Cruzeiro EC MG 0-1 SE Palmeiras SP (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
SE Palmeiras SP or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
CRU 6 of 6 (100%) · SEP 6 of 9 (67%)83.3%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level · Cruzeiro EC MG: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE Palmeiras SP win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
CRU 4 of 6 (67%) · SEP 6 of 9 (67%)66.7%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level · Cruzeiro EC MG: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 7 of 9 (78%) · SEP 6 of 6 (100%)95.7%
Cruzeiro EC MG: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Cruzeiro EC MG: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CRU 7 of 9 (78%) · SEP 5 of 6 (83%)88.9%
Cruzeiro EC MG: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Cruzeiro EC MG: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
SE PALMEIRAS SP GOALS
SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
CRU 4 of 6 (67%) · SEP 6 of 9 (67%)66.4%
SE Palmeiras SP scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level · Cruzeiro EC MG: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Left off the list: SE Palmeiras SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SE Palmeiras SP 1UP (the numbers (45%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SE Palmeiras SP or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (62%) and the records (85%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.1%
Cruzeiro EC MG goals →
SE Palmeiras SP goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CRUZEIRO EC MGWWWLWWLWLL1.80 PPG
SE PALMEIRAS SPWDWLWWWWDL2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CRUZEIRO EC MG HOMExSE PALMEIRAS SP AWAY
1.58SCORED A GAME1.701.39CONCEDED A GAME0.6770%BOTH SCORED30%30%CLEAN SHEETS60%5.30CORNERS A GAME5.942.48CARDS A GAME2.18
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.20POINTS A GAME2.33+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.83+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+9.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.615LEAGUE GAMES6
SE Palmeiras SP: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 85/90
CRUZEIRO EC MG OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SE PALMEIRAS SP OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CRUZEIRO EC MGxSE PALMEIRAS SP
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.601.60CONCEDED A GAME0.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.412.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cruzeiro EC MG have scored in 100% of their games.
SE Palmeiras SP have scored in 70% of their games.
Cruzeiro EC MG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
SE Palmeiras SP kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards