Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Wed 18 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. Coritiba FC PR have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. Santos FC SP have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L.
The numbers. Coritiba FC PR score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Coritiba FC PR average 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Santos FC SP score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Santos FC SP average 5.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The case against. Coritiba FC PR's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Santos FC SP to win. Santos FC SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Santos FC SP.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Coritiba FC PR 0-1 Santos FC SP (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
COR 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 5 (100%)95.2%
Coritiba FC PR: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Santos FC SP: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Coritiba FC PR: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at Coritiba FC PR's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
COR 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 5 (100%)87.9%
Coritiba FC PR: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Santos FC SP: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Coritiba FC PR: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at Coritiba FC PR's level
SANTOS FC SP GOALS
Santos FC SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
COR 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 4 of 5 (80%)75.1%
Santos FC SP scored in 5 of 5 away · Coritiba FC PR conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at Coritiba FC PR's level · Coritiba FC PR: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.7%
Coritiba FC PR goals →
Santos FC SP goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CORITIBA FC PRLWLLDLLDLW0.80 PPG
SANTOS FC SPLDDWLDWWLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CORITIBA FC PR HOMExSANTOS FC SP AWAY
1.18SCORED A GAME1.471.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4440%BOTH SCORED90%10%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.85CORNERS A GAME5.412.03CARDS A GAME3.09
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.15POINTS A GAME1.58-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17-5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.013LEAGUE GAMES12
Santos FC SP: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
CORITIBA FC PR OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
SANTOS FC SP OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CORITIBA FC PRxSANTOS FC SP
8GAMES71.38SCORED A GAME1.571.25CONCEDED A GAME1.432.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.075%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS86%62%BOTH SCORE86%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.713.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.5
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Coritiba FC PR have scored in 50% of their games.
Santos FC SP have scored in 90% of their games.
Coritiba FC PR kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Santos FC SP kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards