Match details. Qa1. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:15 Lagos time.
Form. Lusail SC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. Qatar SC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.
The numbers. Lusail SC score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Lusail SC average 8.7 shots (3.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Qatar SC score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Qatar SC average 7.7 shots (3.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The case against. Qatar SC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Lusail SC to win. Their goals for and against make Lusail SC the likelier winners; Lusail SC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Lusail SC or Draw at 1.39, 76% on the records (Lusail SC unbeaten in 3 of 5; Qatar SC failed to win 5 of 6 away). Predicted score: Lusail SC 2-1 Qatar SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).