Mashujaa FC vs Pamba Jiji SC

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 14:15 Lagos time. It is played at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma.

Form. Mashujaa FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Pamba Jiji SC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L.

The numbers. Mashujaa FC score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Mashujaa FC average 7.3 shots (2.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Pamba Jiji SC score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pamba Jiji SC average 3.2 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 70%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No firm call: Mashujaa FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Mashujaa FC the likelier winners; Mashujaa FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mashujaa FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 72% on the records (Mashujaa FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5; Pamba Jiji SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Mashujaa FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.31. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mashujaa FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mashujaa FC 1-1 Pamba Jiji SC (13% chance).