AL Qala scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · AL Rayan conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · AL Rayan: only games against sides at AL Qala's level
Match details. Second Division, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Rayan are 11th on 4 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Al Hada, level on points with Al Rawdhah. A win would take them above Al Hada. AL Qala are 9th on 6 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Al-Kawkab, 1 point clear of Al Hada. A win would take them above Al-Kawkab.
Form. AL Rayan have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. AL Qala have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition AL Qala have gone W W L W D D.
The numbers. AL Rayan score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. AL Qala score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last two meetings AL Rayan have won one, drawn one and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2026, it finished AL Rayan 1-0 AL Qala.
The read. AL Rayan to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Rayan the likelier winners; AL Rayan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Rayan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 80% on the records (AL Rayan: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; AL Qala: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: AL Qala Under 1.5 Goals at 1.49. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: AL Rayan Over 1.5 goals (AL Qala's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AL Rayan 2-1 AL Qala (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).