Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Rostov
Match details. Ru1. Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lokomotiv Moscow have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. FK Rostov have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Lokomotiv Moscow score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Lokomotiv Moscow average 8.3 shots (3.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. FK Rostov score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. FK Rostov average 12.5 shots (5.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Lokomotiv Moscow have won four, drawn three and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Lokomotiv Moscow won one, one was drawn and FK Rostov won two.
The case against. Lokomotiv Moscow's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. FK Rostov to win. A tight game. FK Rostov are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Rostov. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FK Rostov at 1.61, 72% on the records (FK Rostov unbeaten in 4 of 7; Lokomotiv Moscow failed to win 4 of 5). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Moscow 0-1 FK Rostov (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).